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Durham Region Commercial Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2026

Durham Region Commercial Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2026

As we step into 2026, the commercial real estate landscape in Durham Region—encompassing Bowmanville, Oshawa, Whitby, Ajax, Pickering, and beyond—continues to show resilience amid broader Ontario market adjustments. With interest rates stabilizing following Bank of Canada cuts and population growth moderating due to immigration policy shifts, investors and business owners are finding renewed opportunities in strategic assets.

Recent mid-2025 reports highlighted robust activity in retail, industrial, commercial/institutional land, and multifamily sectors, driven by investor confidence and development potential. While residential markets in Durham have seen balanced conditions with some price softening, commercial segments remain attractive due to the region’s proximity to Toronto, strong transportation networks (including GO Transit and Highway 401 access), and economic drivers like Ontario Tech University, healthcare expansions, and logistics hubs.

In Bowmanville and Clarington, properties often command higher values than parts of Oshawa thanks to newer developments and desirable locations. Industrial and commercial land continues to draw interest for warehousing and manufacturing, with vacancy rates normalizing but demand holding in prime spots. Retail spaces benefit from population influx and local business growth, while office and mixed-use properties adapt to hybrid work trends.

For 2026, experts anticipate cautious recovery: national forecasts suggest Ontario sales activity rising over 8% in residential, with spillover benefits to commercial through increased economic confidence. However, challenges like tariff uncertainties and supply adjustments in secondary markets could temper speculative projects.

My edge as a specialist in commercial properties and businesses comes from owning Castle Real Estate Marketing, one of Durham Region’s largest real estate media companies. High-quality photography, drone videography, virtual tours, and targeted social media campaigns can dramatically increase visibility and buyer interest. In a market where differentiation matters, professional media turns average listings into standout opportunities—often leading to faster sales and better prices.

Whether you’re eyeing industrial land in Northwood Business Park or retail in Bowmanville’s growing core, 2026 offers potential for informed investors. Partnering with a local expert ensures compliance with RECO standards while maximizing your returns.

If you’re considering a commercial move in Durham Region this year, let’s discuss current opportunities tailored to your goals.

Contact Me Today To Get The Conversation Started!

Cell: 905-439-7113

E-mail: zois.pascal@gmail.com