As we move through January 2026, the residential real estate market in Durham Region—including Bowmanville, Clarington, Oshawa, Whitby, Ajax, and Pickering—reflects a balanced environment with buyer advantages. Recent data shows average home prices in Durham hovering around $844,000–$850,000, with modest month-to-month changes (e.g., a slight 0.4% uptick in December 2025 to $844,473). This follows a year of softer conditions, with prices down from 2024 peaks due to higher inventory, economic uncertainty, and affordability challenges.
Durham continues to offer strong value compared to the broader GTA, where prices have seen steeper declines. In Bowmanville and Clarington, family-oriented detached homes and newer developments often hold steadier values thanks to community appeal, Highway 401 access, and proximity to amenities like schools and Ontario Tech University in nearby Oshawa. Inventory levels remain elevated—often 4+ months of supply in some segments—giving buyers more choices and negotiation power. Sales volumes are seasonal, dipping in winter but with signs of pent-up demand as interest rates stabilize and confidence builds from positive job data.
National and provincial forecasts (from CREA, RE/MAX, and others) point to a modest recovery: Ontario sales could rise over 8% in 2026, driven by southern regions like the GTA and Durham. Average prices may see flat-to-slight growth nationally (around 2-3%), but local Durham trends suggest stability with potential upside if economic headwinds ease. Challenges include tariff uncertainties and slower population growth, but Durham’s fundamentals—family demand, commuting convenience, and infrastructure—support long-term resilience.
My approach as a REALTOR® with Nook Realty emphasizes ethical, compliant guidance. I help clients navigate these dynamics with clear information and professional recommendations. Through Castle Real Estate Marketing—one of Durham Region’s largest real estate media companies—I create high-impact visuals: stunning photography, drone shots highlighting neighbourhood appeal, virtual tours for remote buyers, and targeted social campaigns. In a selective market, exceptional media makes listings stand out, often leading to quicker sales and stronger offers—even in balanced conditions.
Whether you’re a first-time buyer eyeing entry-level homes in Bowmanville or a family upgrading in Whitby, 2026 presents opportunities for informed decisions. Let’s connect to explore current trends and how they align with your goals.
Interested in buying or selling in 2026? Let’s start the conversation now!
Cell: 905-439-7113
E-mail: zois.pascal@gmail.com